Unapologetically Me

NFL 2020 Week 9 Monday Not So Morning Thoughts (On Tuesday)

As per usual, start this off with the Weekly Picks.

  • Chiefs -10 (Loss)
  • Raiders PK (Win)
  • Dolphins +6 (Win)
  • Vikings -4 (Win)
  • Colts +1.5 (Loss)

Season Record: 25-19-1

NFL Ratings and Viewers Update (1 Week Lag)

Week 1 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football – 20.54 Million (-7%)
Early Double Headers – 13.53 Million (+7%)
Sunday Singles – 13.59 Million (-12%)
Late Double Headers – 25.85 Million (+8%)
Sunday Night Football – 18.94 Million (-15%)
Monday Night Football (Early) – 10.76 Million (-18%)
Monday Night Football (Late) – 7.70 Million (-28%)

Week 2 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football – 6.68 Million (+1%)
Early Double Headers – 9.75 Million (-39%)
Sunday Singles – 16.78 Million (+11%)
Late Double Headers – 18.87 Million (-19%)
Sunday Night Football – 17.69 Million (+0.3%)
Monday Night Football – 15.59 Million (+32%)

Week 3 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football – 5.43 Million (-14%)
Early Double Headers – 11.68 Million (-15%)
Sunday Singles – 16.57 Million (-11%)
Late Double Headers – 22.79 Million (+1%)
Sunday Night Football – 17.80 Million (-4%)
Monday Night Football – 14.02 Million (+32%)

Week 4 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football – 5.41 Million (-70%)
Early Double Headers – 16.85 Million (+2%)
Sunday Singles – 9.95 Million (-32%)
Late Double Headers – 18.61 Million (-6%)
Sunday Night Football – 15.08 Million (-37%)
Monday Night Football – 8.65 Million (-17%)
Monday Night Football (Resch) – 14.6 Million (N/A)

Week 5 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football – 14.71 Million (+3%)
Early Double Headers – 14.14 (-12%)
Sunday Singles – 12.49 Million (-23%)
Late Double Headers – 22.87 Million (-7%)
Sunday Night Football – 15.08 Million (-17%)
Monday Night Football – 10.69 Million (-4%)
Special – 10.8 Million (N/A)

Week 6 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football (ReSch) – 12.16 Million (-24%)
Early Double Headers – 12.10 Million (-7%)
Sunday Singles – 16.66 Million (+2%)
Late Double Headers – 22.31 Million (+4%)
Sunday Night Football – 12.60 Million (-15%)
Monday Night Football – 11.32 Million (-15%)

Week 7 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football — 10.07 Million (-26%)
Early Double Headers – 14.53 Million (+22%)
Sunday Singles – 15.88 Million (+20%)
Late Double Headers – 22.90 Million (-1%)
Sunday Night Football – 14.31 Million (-33%)
Monday Night Football – 10.07 Million (-26%)

Week 8 Final Tally
Thursday Night Football – 11.68 Million (-13%)
Early Double Headers – 12.31 Million (+2%)
Sunday Singles – 18.65 Million (+7%)
Late Double Headers – 22.77 Million (+8%)
Sunday Night Football – 16.93 Million (-8%)
Monday Night Football – 11.70 Million (+17%)

Averages Through Week 8
TNF – 10.84 Million (2019 – 15.4)
SNF – 16.05 Million (2019 – 20.5)
MNF – 11.51 Million (2019 – 12.6)

Saints Dismantle Bucs

Top to bottom, this is one of the best games I have seen the Saints ever play. When they beat the shit out of the Colts 62-7 in 2011, the Colts were a dumpster fire. The Bucs are no dumpster fire. They sure as hell looked like one on Sunday Night.

The Saints offense seemed to score at will against one of the league’s best defenses. The Saints defense made Brady look incredibly uncomfortable Sunday night. The 38-3 dismantling marked a clean regular season sweep of the Bucs for the Saints. Since the opening drive of week 1 which led to a Bucs TD, the Saints have outscored the Bucs 72-16.

Maybe the Saints are the Bucs kryptonite. I am not sure. But if these two face in the playoffs, I wouldn’t bank on it being a sure thing. The great news is the Saints just secured the division should they have the same record as the Bucs by season’s end. Fate is in their hands.

Tua Time and The 2020 Rookies

Tua Tagovailoa looked great in his second start leading him Tua 2-0 record (see what I did there?). The Dolphins are rolling right now. When I said Brian Flores was the right man for the job last year, I didn’t think we would see them winning this soon. Are they SB ready? No shot. They are competitive and they are winning. The offense looks more polished with Tua behind center. That is a huge win given where they were a short time again. What a freaking turnaround.

I wanted to take a minute to highlight the rookie class for QBs thus far with Tua, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. All three look damn impressive in their young careers. Unfortunately, the other two are playing with not so good teams which seems like a total waste. Hopefully the Bengals and Chargers can build around their franchise QBs.

Now of course plenty can change course rather quickly. So far though, this looks like it could be the best QB draft class since maybe 2004 (Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, Philip Rivers and Matt Schaub). The only other in contention is 2017 with Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson.

MVP Race

Two weeks ago, the answer to MVP was easily Russell Wilson. Now, I am not so sure. The race for the MVP is on full blast right now with a handful of QBs who are within arms reach of the award.

Right now, I see the award possibly going to Patrick Mahomes. It is crazy to say he sort of came out of the woodwork, but he did. Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers both got off to white hot starts. They are very much still in the race, if not frontrunners. However, Mahomes last two starts have catapulted him into the conversation.

Right now, this is a three horse race as Patrick Mahomes enters the conversation. Here is a comparative look…

  • Patrick Mahomes – 66.9%, 2,687 (298.6), 8.2 YPA, 25 TDs, 1 INT
  • Aaron Rodgers – 67.5%, 2,253 (281.6), 8.0 YPA, 24 TDs, 2 INTs
  • Russell Wilson – 71.0%, 2,541 (317.6), 8.6 YPA, 28 TDs, 8 INTs

Adjusted Stats for 16 Games

  • Patrick Mahomes – 4,777 yards, 44 TDs, 2 INTs
  • Aaron Rodgers – 4,505 yards, 48 TDs, 4 INTs
  • Russell Wilson – 5,081 yards, 56 TDs, 16 INTs

Obviously these numbers likely won’t hold for any of them, but fuck making that decision if that is the case. Mahomes’ biggest case would be the 22-1 TD to INT ratio. Rodgers would not have much of a case because of Mahomes having similar, but more polished numbers. Wilson would be the third to join the 5,000/50 club. He would break the record for TDs in a single season. We have a hell of a race about to unfold bottom line.

Two dark horses and I mean total long shots to potentially steal the award could be Josh Allen or Kyler Murray. Assuming both teams end up in the postseason, those two could potentially steal the MVP because of their solid passing numbers and running ability. I would mainly say Murray because he is on pace for 1,000 yards and 16 rushing scores. His projected stat line (again, probably won’t hold, but still fun to dive into)…

  • Kyler Murray – 68.1%, 4,260 yards, 7.6 YPA, 32 TDs, 14 INTs
    1,086 rush yards, 16 TDs, 7.1 YPC

Bring it on! The conclusion to the NFL 2020 should be a barn burner.

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One response to “NFL 2020 Week 9 Monday Not So Morning Thoughts (On Tuesday)”

  1. Pops Avatar

    Well done

    Liked by 1 person

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