You know what it is. NFL Mock Draft with trades. Let’s see just how wrong I am come draft day or how much I change in my final mock draft on the big day.
- Jacksonville Jaguars – QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson
Analysis: No surprise here. The most can’t miss QB prospect since Andrew Luck is a Jag. He has been a Jag since it was confirmed that Jacksonville was officially on the clock.
2. New York Jets – QB Zach Wilson, BYU
Analysis: Everyone is pretty much sold on the Jets taking Zach Wilson who can be classified as a gamer. That is either a great thing or a terrible thing without much wiggle room for in between. He filled a highlight reel last season with deep balls. The clip in the offseason showing him throw 55-60 yards off balance is insane. Don’t act like you’re not impressed. With Sam Darnold gone, let’s see if the Jets can finally hit gold with their QB here.
3. San Francisco 49ers – QB Justin Fields, Ohio State
Analysis: Assuming my first two picks are indeed the choices, it becomes a carousel of Fields, Lance or Jones. It was reported that Mac Jones was the guy shortly after recording part 1 of the draft podcast. That is looking like it could be smoke and mirrors. My gut is telling me as well as Vegas odds that the Niners take Fields. That is my prediction…for now.
4. (Trade: Falcons) Denver Broncos – QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
Broncos Receive: 4th Pick
Analysis: The Falcons taking Kyle Pitts is heating up. But, I am still sold on them trading down and collecting more assets to help the inept defense. With three QBs gone right off the bat, there are teams who could potentially give a king’s ransom to move up and get their guy. I think the Broncos have a prime spot to allow the Falcons to feel comfortable trading down.
5. Cincinnati Bengals – OT Penai Sewell, Oregon
Analysis: Ja’maar Chase or Penai Sewell seems to be the big debate. Do they Bengals reunite Burrow and his favorite target at LSU? Do they protect the guy who’s rookie season ended tragically with a brutal injury? I am going with the latter. I understand the appeal of Chase, but be fucking smart.
6. Miami Dolphins – TE Kyle Pitts, Florida
Analysis: If Pitts is there, I am fully sold Miami will take him to give Tua a dynamic playmaker who looks like he could potentially be the best non quarterback of the draft.
7. Detroit Lions – WR Ja’maar Chase, LSU
Analysis: The Lions are another team who is rumored to potentially trade down if someone is eagerly trying to jump up for their QB. However, I don’t see that happening with Chase still on the board at 7. It fills a desperate need for the Lions, not that they are short in that department. In terms of non-quarterbacks, the drop off after Chase feels pretty significant.
8. Carolina Panthers – OT Rashawn Slater, Northwestern
Analysis: The Panthers went heavy on defense in last year’s draft and I expect much of the same this year. After grabbing Darnold, I think they could sure up the line with 8th pick here.
9. (Trade: Broncos) Atlanta Falcons – CB Patrick Surtain II, Alabama
Falcons Receive: 9th Pick, 2021 2nd Round, 2022 1st Round, 2022 3rd Round
Analysis: Assuming the Falcons do in fact trade back, they need to go heavy on the defensive side of the ball. It can start pairing someone like Surtain to play alongside AJ Terrell. That could be a nasty duo.
10. (Trade: Cowboys) Arizona Cardinals – WR Devonta Smith, Alabama
Cardinals Receiver: 10th Pick
Analysis: One rumor I am buying is the Cardinals looking to trade up and make a splash. While I think Pitts is out of the question to add to the offense, Smith’s playmaking could add a nice compliment to DeAndre Hopkins.
11. New York Giants – OG Alijah Vera-Tucker, USC
Analysis: While Micah Parsons or Waddle/Smith has been floating around the Giants, I think they pull the swerve and go offensive line here. Andrew Thomas certainly had a better back half of his rookie season. They still struggled up front protecting Daniel Jones and creating running lanes for the backs.
12. Philadelphia Eagles – WR Jaylen Waddle, Alabama
Analysis: If one of the big name receivers fall, I believe the Eagles will capitalize no question. They quickly answered the question of whether or not Jalen Hurts is their guy moving forward. The trade down was loud and clear.
13. Los Angeles Chargers – OT Christian Darrisaw, Virginia Tech
Analysis: It is no secret the OROY Justin Herbert needs protection. He was running for his life last year thanks to some injuries up front and the ineptitude of others.
14. Minnesota Vikings – DT Christian Barmore, Alabama
Analysis: Mike Zimmer loves to create pressure with his front 4. After losing Everson Griffin, Danielle Hunter wasn’t enough to keep opposing QBs uncomfortable. While EDGE is a potential, they also weren’t much better stopping the run. Drafting the best DT in the draft can address both of those concerns by taking some pressure off Hunter and giving you someone to plug the middle.
15. New England Patriots – EDGE Kwity Paye, Michigan
Analysis: With Mac Jones still on the board, you may be surprised by the fact I have Belichick going defense. I believe the Patriots are secure with Cam Newton and think he has something more left in the tank. Last year showed exactly how awful that offense was and why Brady took a nose dive in 2019. Sure up more pieces on D so you can control the clock on offense with more run based personnel with the tight ends.
16. (Trade: Cardinals) Dallas Cowboys – CB Jaycee Horn, South Carolina
Cowboys Receive: 16th Pick, 2021 2nd Round, 2022 2nd Round
Analysis: After getting Surtain stolen from under their nose, they get the 1B with Horn here.
17. Las Vegas Raiders – LB Micah Parsons, Penn State
Analysis: I love the idea of Parsons going to the Raiders. That would give Gruden’s squad a QB on the defensive side. They desperately need help on that side of the ball.
18. (Trade: Dolphins) Pittsburgh Steelers – QB Mac Jones, Alabama
Steelers Receive: 18th Pick
Analysis: The wait is over. Jones finally goes after the Steelers make a splash to get their heir apparent to Ben. They jump Washington and Chicago who could easily decide to take him.
19. Washington Football Team – LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Notre Dame
Analysis: I am still on the Chase Young overhype train. But that defense is looking like they could be special as a unite. Grabbing a linebacker to play behind that stellar line could be a dangerous and filthy move for Rivera.
20. Chicago Bears – CB Greg Newsome II, Northwestern
Analysis: They don’t have their answer at QB so I believe no matter what, the Bears end up addressing the secondary with a corner who could start right away.
21. Indianapolis Colts – EDGE Azeez Ojulari, Georgia
Analysis: A secondary’s best friend is a great pass rush. The Colts could easily grab someone like Caleb Farley. However, I think they could go with one of the best edge rushers on the board.
22. Tennessee Titans – EDGE Jayson Oweh, Penn State
Analysis: Titans could literally draft anything on defense and it is an upgrade. The Jadeveon Clowney experiment failed…shocker.
23. New York Jets – OT Samuel Cosmi, Texas
Analysis: I will run with the cliche of you got your QB…now protect him.
24. (Trade: Steelers) Miami Dolphins – RB Najee Harris, Alabama
Dolphins Receive: 24th Pick, 2020 3rd Round, 2022 2nd Round
Analysis: They could keep loading up on defense. Maybe it is wishful thinking, but I would love to see the Phins grab Harris or Etienne here. They are in need of a RB to shoulder the load.
25. Jacksonville Jaguars – S Trevon Moehrig, TCU
Analysis: They need playmakers. Moehrig could patrol the back end of the Jags D. At this point, he would be the best available player on the board.
26. Cleveland Browns – LB Zaven Collins, Tulsa
Analysis: I will go status quo on this one with many of the mocks have Cleveland landing Collins.
27. Baltimore Ravens – EDGE Joseph Ossai, Texas
Analysis: He is a perfect fit for the Ravens who need a pass rusher. He can play standing up or on the down front. Plus he is built like T-Sizzle. It felt like too easy of a comparison.
28. New Orleans Saints – WR Terrace Marshall Jr. LSU
Analysis: I honestly haven’t a clue on what the hell the Saints do in round 1. I could see corner, edge or receiver being the play. This should make Saints fans happy.
29. Green Bay Packers – CB Caleb Farley, Virginia Tech
Analysis: Just another year in which the Packers don’t use their first on a player for Aaron Rodgers.
30. Buffalo Bills – RB Travis Etienne, Clemson
Analysis: I think Bills ultimately grab the best skill player available on the offensive side of the ball at 30 barring some outlier or free fall of someone.
31. Kansas City – OT Teven Jenkins, Oklahoma State
Analysis: If you watched the Super Bowl…
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – WR Rashod Bateman, Minnesota
Analysis: They are returning every starter so they’re going to invest in someone who can give them an impact right away. With Bateman falling, that could be a nice fit in Tampa’s offense.
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